Skip to main content Skip to main navigation menu Skip to site footer
Articles
Published: 2023-08-13

The Impact of Investor Sentiment on Value and Growth Stocks Return

Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Andalas
Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Andalas
Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Andalas
Investor Sentiment Stocks Return Volatility Index VIX Sentiment Index

Abstract

The aim of this research is to investigate the impact of investor sentiment on value and stocks return. Two investor sentiment indicators, volatility index VIX and sentiment index are used as independent variables. Technical proxies (relative strength index, psychological line index, trading volumes and adjusted turnover rate) are used to construct sentiment index using principal component analysis. The dependent variable is value and growth stocks return formed based on the book to market ratio. Three Fama-French factors are used as control variables to isolate the impact of investor sentiment from systematic risk and fundamental factors. We use companies listed on Kompas 100 index over the sample period February 2017-January 2023. The sampling technique was carried out by purposive sampling and obtained 45 companies as the research samples. The empirical analysis employs multiple regression analysis using 1.385 daily time series computed by Microsoft Excel and Stata 13. The regression results indicate that volatility index VIX has a negative significant effect on value and growth stocks return. Sentiment index has a positive and significant effect on value stocks return but does not have a significant effect on growth stocks return. Investor sentiment has a greater effect on value stocks than growth stocks.

References

  1. Aggarwal, D. (2022). Defining and measuring market sentiments: a review of the literature. Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, 14(2), 270–288. https://doi.org/10.1108/QRFM-03-2018-0033
  2. Agustin, I. N. (2019). Testing Weak Form of Stock Market Efficiency at The Indonesia Sharia Stock Index. Muqtasid: Journal of Islamic Economics and Banking, 10(1), 17. https://doi.org/10.18326/muqtasid.v10i1.17-29
  3. Baker, H. K., &; Nofsinger, J. R. (2010). Behavioral Finance: Investors, Corporations, and Markets (H. K. Baker & J. R. Nofsinger (eds.)). Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118258415
  4. Baker, H. K., &; Puttonen, V. (2019). Navigating the Investment Minefield: Don't Be Intimidated by the World of Investing. In Navigating the Investment Minefield (pp. 1–20). Emerald Publishing Limited. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78769-053-020191001
  5. Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645–1680. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00885.x
  6. Bodie, Z., Kane, A., &; Marcus, A. J. (2018). Investments (11th ed.). McGraw-Hill Education.
  7. Byun, J., Korea, (, Choi, H.-S., Moon, P., &; Choi, S. (2015). Sentiment, growth and value investments: evidence from Korean Stock Listings. In Investment Management and Financial Innovations (Vol. 12).
  8. Cboe. (2022). Volatility Index®Methodology: Cboe Volatility Index®.
  9. Chan, L. K. C., &; Lakonishok, J. (2004). Value and Growth Investing: Review and Update. Financial Analysts Journal, 60(1), 71–86. https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v60.n1.2593
  10. Chung, C. Y., Kim, H., &; Ryu, D. (2017). Foreign investor trading and information asymmetry: evidence from a leading emerging market. Applied Economics Letters, 24(8), 540–544. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2016.1208349
  11. Ding, W., Mazouz, K., &; Wang, Q. (2019). Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns: new theory and evidence. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 53(2), 493–525. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-018-0756-z
  12. Fama, E. F., &; French, K. R. (1998). Value versus Growth: The International Evidence. The Journal of Finance, 53(6), 1975–1999. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00080
  13. Gagliolo, F., & Cardullo, G. (2020). Value Stocks and Growth Stocks: A Study of the Italian Market. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 10(3), 7–15. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.9382
  14. Hou, J., Zhao, S., &; Yang, H. (2020). Individual analysts, stock return synchronicity and information efficiency. International Review of Financial Analysis, 71, 101513. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2020.101513
  15. Kim, B., &; Suh, S. (2021). Overnight stock returns, intraday returns, and firm-specific investor sentiment. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 55, 101287. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2020.101287
  16. Kim, K., Ryu, D., &; Yang, H. (2019). Investor sentiment, stock returns, and analyst recommendation changes: The KOSPI stock market. Investment Analysts Journal, 48(2), 89–101. https://doi.org/10.1080/10293523.2019.1614758
  17. KSEI. (2021). Closing 2021 with Better Indonesian Capital Market Optimism. Press Release PR No: 095/IDX. SPR/12-2021.
  18. Liao, Y., Day, M.-Y., Cheng, Y., Huang, P., &; Ni, Y. (2021). Does CBOE Volatility Index Jumped or Located at a Higher Level Matter for Evaluating DJ 30, NASDAQ, and S&P500 Index Subsequent Performance. Journal of Computer, 32(4), 057–066. https://doi.org/10.53106/199115992021083204005
  19. López-Cabarcos, M. Á., Pérez-Pico, A. M., Vázquez-Rodríguez, P., & López-Pérez, M. L. (2020). Investor sentiment in the theoretical field of behavioural finance. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 33(1), 2101–2119. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2018.1559748
  20. Malini, H. (2019). Efficient Market Hypothesis and Market Anomalies of LQ 45 Index in Indonesia Stock Exchange. Sriwijaya International Journal of Dynamic Economic and Business, 3(2), 107. https://doi.org/10.29259/sijdeb.v3i2.107-121
  21. Phan, T. N. T., Bertrand, P., Phan, H. H., &; Vo, X. V. (2023). The role of investor behavior in emerging stock markets: Evidence from Vietnam. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 87, 367–376. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2021.07.001
  22. Phuong, L. C. M. (2020). Investor sentiment by psychological line index and stock return. Accounting, 1259–1264. https://doi.org/10.5267/j.ac.2020.8.026
  23. Putriadita, D. (2021, December). Investors Choose to Breed Funds in Financial Markets.
  24. Rahim, R., Sulaiman, D., Husni, T., &; Wiranda, N. A. (2021). Investor Behavior Responding to Changes in Trading Halt Conditions: Empirical Evidence from the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 8(4), 135–143. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2021.vol8.no4.0135
  25. Reis, P. M. N., & Pinho, C. (2020a). A new European investor sentiment index (EURsent) and its return and volatility predictability. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 100373. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100373
  26. Reis, P. M. N., & Pinho, C. (2020b). A Reappraisal of the Causal Relationship between Sentiment Proxies and Stock Returns. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1080/15427560.2020.1792910
  27. Rodjuhntong, M. (2020). FIRM-SPECIFIC INVESTOR SENTIMENT AND THE STOCK MARKET RESPONSE TO EARNINGS NEWS: EVIDENCE FROM THAILAND.
  28. Schoenmaker, D., &; Schramade, W. (2019). Investing for long-term value creation. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, 9(4), 356–377. https://doi.org/10.1080/20430795.2019.1625012
  29. Seok, S. I., Cho, H., &; Ryu, D. (2019). Firm-specific investor sentiment and daily stock returns. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 50, 100857. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2018.10.005
  30. Sharma, A., & Kumar, A. (2019). A review paper on behavioral finance: study of emerging trends. Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, 12(2), 137–157. https://doi.org/10.1108/QRFM-06-2017-0050
  31. Smales, L. A. (2017a). Effect of investor fear on Australian financial markets. Applied Economics Letters, 24(16), 1148–1153. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2016.1259744
  32. Smales, L. A. (2017b). The importance of fear: investor sentiment and stock market returns. Applied Economics, 49(34), 3395–3421. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2016.1259754
  33. Smales, L. A. (2022). Spreading the fear: The central role of CBOE VIX in global stock market uncertainty. Global Finance Journal, 51, 100679. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2021.100679
  34. Sundaram, A. (2020). Article ID: IJM_11_11_012 Funds & to Forecast Assets Under Management (AUM), a Mutual Fund Market Indicator. International Journal of Management (IJM, 11(11), 117–127. https://doi.org/10.34218/IJM.11.11.2020.012
  35. Tandelilin, E. (2017). Capital markets, portfolio management & investments. PT Kanisius.
  36. Wang, W., Su, C., &; Duxbury, D. (2021). Investor sentiment and stock returns: Global evidence. Journal of Empirical Finance, 63, 365–391. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2021.07.010
  37. Yang, C., & Zhou, L. (2015). Investor trading behavior, investor sentiment and asset prices. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 34, 42–62.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2015.08.003
  38. Yang, H., Ryu, D., &; Ryu, D. (2017). Investor sentiment, asset returns and firm characteristics: Evidence from the Korean stock market. Investment Analysts Journal, 46(2), 132–147. https://doi.org/10.1080/10293523.2016.1277850

How to Cite

Suchi Gamella Putri, Tafdil Husni, & Rida Rahim. (2023). The Impact of Investor Sentiment on Value and Growth Stocks Return. Business and Investment Review, 1(4), 74–86. https://doi.org/10.61292/birev.99